Gulfport, Mississippi 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

996
FXUS64 KLIX 042339
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
639 PM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

The overall pattern remain mostly unchanged from the weekend. An
H5 weakness resides over the Lower Mississippi River Valley. The
western periphery of this UL trough is very dry leading to lower
PWATs across the northwest half of the CWFA. Southeast, closer to
a surface trough has better moisture quality and higher PWATs and
a higher chance of diurnally driven convection. Overall,
temperatures will remain around average as upper level heights and
thicknesses remain modest. (Frye)

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Sunday night)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

Going into the long term period, the upper level weakness
eventually pinches off into an upper level low over the near the
Nashville Basin Wednesday into Thursday. The surface trough will
continue to reside generally right along the coast before it
begins to wash out later in the period. Globals have the upper
level feature drop southward from Middle Tennessee into the lower
MS River Valley later this week and into the weekend. This is
signaling a higher confidence in higher diurnal convection
coverage and even slightly lower temperatures with rainfall
coverage and the lower heights. (Frye)

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 636 PM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

Still some isolated TSRA around Lake Pontchartrain and will carry
a couple hours of VCTS at KNEW/KMSY/KASD. For most of the night,
expect VFR conditions. Some potential for SHRA/TSRA at coastal
terminals around sunrise Tuesday, but most convection will be
during the afternoon hours. Will go with PROB30 for now from about
19z-23z Tuesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 131 PM CDT Mon Aug 4 2025

Early morning convection will remain possible through the start
of the new workweek. This should be the primary focus as winds and
seas around any convection may be locally higher. In the light
surface flow, waterspouts may be possible, especially any updraft
that can become rooted into a surface boundary. A broad surface
low and upper level weakness may assist in convective development
diurnally each night through much of the upcoming week. (Frye)

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  71  90  71  91 /  10  30  10  40
BTR  74  92  73  93 /  10  30  10  40
ASD  72  89  72  91 /  40  60  30  60
MSY  78  91  77  92 /  30  60  20  60
GPT  73  89  74  90 /  50  70  30  60
PQL  72  89  72  90 /  50  70  40  60

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RDF
LONG TERM....RDF
AVIATION...RW
MARINE...RDF